Portfolio Company CEO survey

Delivering outcomes in disruptive times

Overview

We asked the CEOs of our Infrastructure, Energy Transition, Private Equity, Agriculture and Real Estate portfolio companies for their direct perspectives on the current operating environment, the challenges and opportunities it presents, and the outlook for their businesses.

Drawing on the views of 124 leaders of businesses across 26 countries and nine sectors that represent more than $US200 billion of combined assets under management, fewer sources of insights are richer.

We’ve provided a short summary of our findings below. We hope they also offer you some valuable perspectives.

Key findings

The results of our 2026 survey paint a picture of a portfolio that is operating in an increasingly volatile external environment. Where CEOs were previously primarily focused on operational challenges, their top concerns have shifted decisively outward towards inflation, macroeconomic and geopolitical volatility, and energy costs. Yet against that backdrop, the overall mood is one of resilience and forward intent.


Our businesses are actively positioning for long-term value creation, earnings expectations remain solid and capital investment continues.
Most striking is the sharp acceleration in AI and technology investment reflecting a broad conviction that a structural AI investment cycle is now underway. Importantly, a significant number of companies are already capturing tangible benefits from technology investments.



These findings, and the broader insights from each of our CEOs, actively inform how we work, feeding into the conversations we have with CEOs and their teams, sharpening our view of risks and opportunities across our portfolio, and deepening the perspectives we bring to our clients.

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Confidence holds amid volatility

74 %

of our CEOs are optimistic about their three-year growth outlook. Despite the geopolitical backdrop, confidence across the portfolio remains steady.

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External factors top of mind

5

top concerns are macroeconomic, led by inflationary pressures, macroeconomic volatility, and energy prices.

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Middle East conflict is felt but absorbed

65 %

report some degree of negative impact from the conflict but, for the majority, the impact is modest. Higher energy prices are cited as the biggest driver.

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AI investment surges

85 %

are planning to increase spending on AI and technology in the next three years. AI is now the top area for capability building, with 56% of CEOs building out dedicated AI expertise.

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Earnings resilient despite headwinds

83 %

expect their EBITDA to be stable or growing over the next 12 months. Primary drivers are organic demand growth, capacity expansion, and contracted revenue streams.

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Our companies are investing in growth

79 %

expect capex to increase or remain the same over the next three years. More than half of CEOs ranked growth capex as their top priority, alongside maintenance and asset renewal.

Macquarie Asset management is a leading global asset manager offering a diverse range of investment solutions, including real assets, real estate, and credit.

 

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Additional important information (including regional disclosures)

 

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